News

5.07.2022 Alpine Select Ltd.: Monthly Update June 2022

 

Alpine Select has published the monthly update June 2022.
Klick here to download the monthly report.

 

Alpine Select hat den Monatsbericht Juni 2022 publiziert (nur in Englisch).
Klicken Sie hier um den Bericht einzusehen.




Market commentary

Markets experienced a tumultuous first half year indicating that the global economy is in trouble given the surging inflation and recession fears. To highlight the magnitude of the past months the S&P 500 Index posted its worst first half since 1970, down almost 21% in H1-22.

 

All main indices decreased year-to-date: NASDAQ: -29.5%; CSI 300 -9.2%; Nikkei -8.3%; SMI -16.6% and the DAX -19.5%.

 

Meanwhile, bonds have suffered too which is a rare dynamic given bonds’ typical role as a portfolio balancer when risk assets decline. The U.S. Aggregate bond index declined more than 10% YTD.

 

The US FED raised rates by 75 basis points to 1.75% setting a hawkish tone to fight inflation and potentially also harm labour markets. Surprisingly, the Swiss SNB advanced independently of the ECB and raised rates by +0.5% to current -0.25%.

 

We believe that a serious de-rating of the equity multiple, enormous risk transfer and the declining markets have taken enough heat, for the moment. On an optimistic note, we acknowledge the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in China which lifted global sentiment after Beijing and Shanghai reported being back at zero Covid cases.

 

On Blockchain and Digital Assets, we noted last month that both Terra’s UST stable coin and its seigniorage token LUNA collapsed. That event led to further shockwaves into the digital assets’ ecosystem and the investment world discovered that Three Arrows Capital (3AC), one of the largest crypto VC funds backing LUNA, was insolvent. After the LUNA asset combusted, the fund lacked sufficient liquidity to meet margin calls on some of their leveraged trades. Companies affiliated with 3AC, such as Celsius and Babel Finance (CeFi platforms offering a convenient way into DeFi) were also forced to suspend withdrawals.

 

We acknowledge, DeFi is not perfect, meanwhile DeFi markets have demonstrated to be orderly and efficient. Thus, no DeFi app (e.g. Uniswap) had to pause withdrawals or required emergency financing given the contagion. Centralized players were mostly responsible for the negative headlines triggering further de-leveraging with price impact on the various assets (BTC, ETH, etc.).

 

This gives us confirmation that DeFi works and the use-cases to further automate financial transaction will continue to evo

 

 

For further information, please contact Claudia Habermacher (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.) or visit our website www.alpine-select.ch.

 

 

About Alpine Select
Alpine Select Ltd is an investment company domiciled in Zug and has been listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange since 1998. The company offers shareholders the key benefit of investing into a global diversified and CHF hedged alternative investment portfolio. The portfolio exposure is actively being risk adjusted to current market sentiment and outlook. The investment style is value oriented and the investments are selected based on the company’s target return of 6-8% p.a. above CHF risk free rate. Alpine Select maintains an active and constructive dialogue with management and board of directors of its portfolio companies in the best interest of its shareholders. Alpine Select does not charge any management or performance fees.